Thanksgiving Week Snowstorm Threat Growing for Jackson Hole

If you’ve been enjoying Jackson’s suspiciously warm, suspiciously sunny, suspiciously not November-ish weather… well, enjoy your last few days of it. Because, according to multiple forecasts, premium apps, national models, NOAA long-range outlooks, and the kind of charts only true weather degenerates love, the vibes shift hard next week.

And yes, before you ask: I’m a massive weather nerd. I live for this stuff. I read the Climate Prediction Center the way normal people read novels. I run high-res models on my phone for fun. And I use Carrot Weather, the sassiest and most accurate premium weather app on Earth. The same one that literally saved my family’s life from an EF3 tornado in Lincoln, Nebraska. If Carrot says “brace yourself,” I listen.

And Carrot is now whispering sweet November chaos into our ears.

First: The Calm Before the Turkey

Through Sunday, Jackson stays in full “Fall Magazine Spread” mode:

Sunny Friday
Light clouds Saturday
Sunny again Sunday
Highs in the mid-40s
Nights in the teens/twenties
Zero drama

A perfect weekend to hike, bike, pretend you’re still doing yard work, or smugly remind your out-of-state relatives that Jackson doesn’t really have “fall,” it just has extended pre-winter optimism.

❄️ Then Tuesday Arrives… And Oh Boy

Carrot is already hinting at:

Light snow Tuesday day
Heavy snow Tuesday night
Temps from 19° to 36°
Up to 3+ inches of snow depending on elevation and timing
A spicy little moisture tap that could easily overperform (it’s Jackson after all)

Precip chances aren’t overwhelmingly high yet (Carrot is calling ~29%), but the structure of the storm is the important part: A colder trough dropping in right as Thanksgiving week starts.

This is classic “November finally woke up” energy.

🌨️ Wednesday: The Main Event?

This is where the models get excited.

Carrot shows:

Morning snow
Afternoon freezing rain potential (a Jackson Thanksgiving tradition as old as time)
Heavy snow Wednesday night
An estimated 7–8 inches of snow in the Wednesday model runs
85% precipitation chance
A high of 36°, but it drops during the storm

This one has “holiday travel headache” written all over it.

Possible 8 inches of snow for Jackson, Wyoming Wednesday, 11-26-25

NOAA: The Pattern Is About to Flip

The Climate Prediction Center’s Thanksgiving week outlook backs up what apps like Carrot are hinting at:

Below normal temperatures across the West
Above normal precipitation for Wyoming
A slight risk of heavy snow from Nov. 28 – Dec. 3
A broad western trough taking up residence just in time for leftovers

Translation:
Winter may be fashionably late this year, but she’s about to sashay down the Tetons runway.

So… Are We Getting a Big Storm or Not?

Here’s the honest forecast breakdown:

The setup is there
Carrot is already sniffing something
NOAA sees the pattern shift
Long-range ensembles show colder, wetter conditions
But storm track details this far out can still swing wildly

In other words:
We’re on the runway for a legit Thanksgiving-week storm, but final boarding is not yet confirmed.

If you’re traveling next Tuesday or Wednesday, keep an eye on the updates, or better yet, ask a weather nerd. The type who reads precipitation charts like holy scripture. Preferably one who survived a tornado thanks to a premium app with a snarky personality.